Scheda di dettaglio – i prodotti della ricerca
| Dato | Valore |
|---|---|
| Title | Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for Conflicting Analysis and Dissolution in Drought Risk Management |
| Abstract | Empirical investigations in scientific literature have highlighted the differences between stakeholders' perceptions on the severity of a given drought phenomenon and on results out of scientific - technical evaluations. This means that there can be several perceptions over the phenomenon as well as different scientific models to be used in order to assess the drought's severity which itself does not consider such differences. Facing a drought phenomenon, stakeholders adopt different rnental models to assess its severity, taking into account additional elements, other than just water availability and climatic conditions. At turn, this could have a strong negative impact on the effectiveness of strategies for drought mitigation. In fact, if mitigation actions were selected without considering stakeholders' perceptions over the drought, then, the actions themselves would be considered as unsatisfactory by the stakeholders or, even worst, not acceptable at ali. If the degree of acceptability was low, then stakeholders would strongly hamper the implementation of mitigation actions. Therefore, an in depth analysis of potential conflicts and the definition of effective negotiation strategies should be useful. By this perspective, we propose a methodology based on a Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) to support the elicitation and the analysis of stakeholders' perceptions over the drought and the analysis of potential conflicts. The method has been applied to a drought management process in the area nearby the Trasimeno Lake (located in the Region of Umbria) in order to analyze potential conflict. |
| Source | Plurimondi (Bari) IV (7), pp. 175–206 |
| Keywords | Drought risk managementdrought perceptionFuzzy Cognitive MapConflicts analysis |
| Journal | Plurimondi (Bari) |
| Editor | Edizioni Dedalo, Bari, Italia |
| Year | 2010 |
| Type | Articolo in rivista |
| Authors | GIORDANO, R. PASSARELLA, G., VURRO, M. |
| Text | 67861 2010 Drought risk management drought perception Fuzzy Cognitive Map Conflicts analysis Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for Conflicting Analysis and Dissolution in Drought Risk Management GIORDANO, R. PASSARELLA, G., VURRO, M. GIORDANO, R. PASSARELLA, G., VURRO, M. Water Research Institute I.R.S.A., Italian National Research Council C.N.R., Bari, Italy Empirical investigations in scientific literature have highlighted the differences between stakeholders perceptions on the severity of a given drought phenomenon and on results out of scientific technical evaluations. This means that there can be several perceptions over the phenomenon as well as different scientific models to be used in order to assess the drought s severity which itself does not consider such differences. Facing a drought phenomenon, stakeholders adopt different rnental models to assess its severity, taking into account additional elements, other than just water availability and climatic conditions. At turn, this could have a strong negative impact on the effectiveness of strategies for drought mitigation. In fact, if mitigation actions were selected without considering stakeholders perceptions over the drought, then, the actions themselves would be considered as unsatisfactory by the stakeholders or, even worst, not acceptable at ali. If the degree of acceptability was low, then stakeholders would strongly hamper the implementation of mitigation actions. Therefore, an in depth analysis of potential conflicts and the definition of effective negotiation strategies should be useful. By this perspective, we propose a methodology based on a Fuzzy Cognitive Map FCM to support the elicitation and the analysis of stakeholders perceptions over the drought and the analysis of potential conflicts. The method has been applied to a drought management process in the area nearby the Trasimeno Lake located in the Region of Umbria in order to analyze potential conflict. IV Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for Conflicting Analysis and Dissolution in Drought Risk Management. Articolo su rivista internazionalenazionale INT_Articolo_in_Rivista_J_14.pdf Articolo in rivista Edizioni Dedalo 1129 4469 Plurimondi Bari Plurimondi Bari Plurimondi Bari Plurimondi. Bari giuseppe.passarella PASSARELLA GIUSEPPE raffaele.giordano GIORDANO RAFFAELE michele.vurro VURRO MICHELE TA.P04.005.007 Strumenti di mitigazione dello stress quali quantitativo per i sistemi idrici TA.P04.005.008 Integrazione di metodologie per il monitoraggio e la modellizzazione per la gestione delle risorse idriche |