Scheda di dettaglio – i prodotti della ricerca
| Dato | Valore |
|---|---|
| Title | Fuzzy Cognitive Map to Support Conflict Analysis in Drought Management |
| Keywords | Drought managementdrought perceptionFuzzy Cognitive MapConflicts analysis. |
| Year | 2010 |
| Type | Contributo in volume |
| DOI | 10.1007/978-3-642-03220-2 |
| Authors | GIORDANO R., VURRO M. |
| Text | 138597 2010 10.1007/978 3 642 03220 2 Drought management drought perception Fuzzy Cognitive Map Conflicts analysis. Fuzzy Cognitive Map to Support Conflict Analysis in Drought Management GIORDANO R., VURRO M. National Research Council e Water Research Institute, via De Blasio, 5, 70123 Bari, Italy Empirical investigations in scientific literature have highlighted the differences between the stakeholders perceptions of a given drought phenomenon s severity and the results of scientific technical evaluation. This means that there can be several perceptions of the phenomenon, and the scientific models used to assess the drought s severity do not consider these differences. Facing a drought phenomenon, stakeholders adopt different mental models to assess its severity, taking into account additional elements, other than just water availability and climatic conditions. This, in turn, could have a strong negative impact on the effectiveness of drought mitigation strategies. In fact, if the mitigation actions are selected without considering the stakeholders perceptions of the drought, then the actions themselves could be considered as unsatisfactory by the stakeholders or, even worst, not acceptable at all. If the degree of acceptability is low, then the implementation of the mitigation actions could be hampered by strong opposition from the stakeholders. Therefore, an in depth analysis of the potential conflicts and the definition of effective negotiation strategies could be really useful. In this perspective, we propose a methodology based on a Fuzzy Cognitive Map FCM to support the elicitation and the analysis of stakeholders perceptions of drought, and the analysis of potential conflicts. The method was applied to a drought management process in the Trasimeno Lake area Umbria Region in order to analyze potential conflict. Fuzzy Cognitive Maps Advances Theory, Methodologies, Tools and Applications Michael Glykas 978 3 642 03219 6 Fuzzy Cognitive map fulltext.pdf Contributo in volume Springer 1434 9922 Studies in fuzziness and soft computing Studies in fuzziness and soft computing Stud. fuzziness soft comput. Studies in fuzziness and soft computing. Studies in fuzziness and soft computing Print raffaele.giordano GIORDANO RAFFAELE michele.vurro VURRO MICHELE TA.P04.005.007 Strumenti di mitigazione dello stress quali quantitativo per i sistemi idrici |